Part COVID-tracking, part research and predictive analytics, part blog, and part social networking, Real Science is dedicated to connecting scientists to each other and directly with the world. It was born out of frustration with science news misinformation that has been especially egregious during the COVID-19 pandemic; and also the need for speed in scientific innovation. It is a much needed tool in times of crisis or scientific advancement in the future. I would love your help in building and growing Real Science.
Please feel free to reach out with feedback.
My #1 XPRIZE COVID model was very accurate for >9 weeks. My projected mid-March end to the pandemic became delayed by the emergence of new variants- most importantly B.1.526 (NY originating variant). Stay tuned for more in depth analysis of the impact of the new variants and an updated model that includes variants and vaccines.
– Certain counties are returning to active case levels that are much safer (cream colored as tracked here https://realscience.community/covid_tracking-2/).
– You can read about the XPRIZE finalists here https://rb.gy/zzpdfj
US by State
About: Projections were created by the founder of Real Science, Dr. Christin Glorioso. I produced a separate SIR model for each county with an empirically derived beta from real data from that county. US and state level data are calculated from the sum of the county model results. The primary data are from the JHU COVID repository. Feel free to reach out to me for more details. You can join the site and message me or leave a comment below.
People and the news are extremely focused on getting people vaccinated right now and I agree that would be helpful. But I don’t think that is the most important thing because I don’t think it will actually end the Pandemic… even if we got to 90% vaccinated…People and the news are extremely focused on getting people vaccinated right now and I agree that would be helpful. But I don’t think that is the most important thing because I don’t think it will actually end the Pandemic… even if we got to 90% vaccinated. The virus is mutating and we are far from stopping that. We would need to vaccinate the whole world and that won’t happen this year or probably even next year and by that time we will need a new vaccine. I really think we should instead be turning our attention to how to better live with the virus because it’s here to stay for quite some time. And there will be future pandemics after this one.
Here is what I think we need to start working on to live with the virus, emphasis on the live part:
1. Safer schools, businesses, and transportation: this basically means improving air circulation and filtration– how much would it cost to put high quality filters everywhere? How can we make more things outside? How can we make more things spacious?– spread out instead of clumping in cities.
2. Better personal risk predictions to empower people to know nuances about risks for various things at various times. This is also a public health intervention…
Global Cases are dropping worldwide but are still at very high levels. Active cases are high in most of South America, India and some surrounding countries, and parts of Europe. Darker blue indicates more cases below while cream colored areas are relatively safe (<1/10,000 chances of catching COVID/day with average behavior). India and Brazil have […]
What is the Real Science Wiki?
RS-wiki is a scientist and expert-created wiki for sharing new and established research (currently in Beta testing). It will have links to the homepages and descriptions of ongoing research of scientists, written by them, in real time.
Why was it created?
The COVID-19 Pandemic has made it clear to me that the scientific community needs a centralized place to share new research with each other to promote collaboration, and with the world to disseminate true facts. The media has politicized, skewed, or simply conveyed incorrectly so much science during this pandemic. The harm and number of lost lives this created was/is shocking. Real science is reliable and trustworthy for the most part and has kept me moored during this crazy time. I hope to share that mooring with the world, not just now but also for future health crises and scientific milestones.
How is it different than Wikipedia?
RS-Wiki has a more immediate timeframe than Wikipedia, which conveys well-established research that has been published and confirmed for many years. While Wikipedia is a laudably accurate resource for science information, it is too slow to promote collaboration or spread of real information during crisis or innovation.
I’m an expert, how do I contribute?
If you are a researcher, health care worker, engineer, or other scientific subject matter expert and want to contribute, please register below. You will be able to edit and create wiki entries and I encourage you to add descriptions and links to your ongoing research, articles and preprints, and your lab or company websites. Once you are registered and have been verified, log-in and you will see edit and add entry buttons in the top left header toolbar. You can choose a category for new pages in the block editor Entry tab on the right hand side. This wiki is in Beta testing, please let me know if you have any questions or suggestions for improvement. You can also comment on any post in the comments section at the bottom.
If you are a non-scientist, I hope that you find this to be a trustworthy and useful place for ongoing science facts! I welcome feedback