HOME

A space for scientists to connect with each other and the world.
My #1 XPRIZE COVID model was very accurate for >9 weeks. My projected mid-March end to the pandemic became delayed by the emergence of new variants- most importantly B.1.526 (NY originating variant). Stay tuned for more in depth analysis of the impact of the new variants and an updated model that includes variants and vaccines.
– Certain counties are returning to active case levels that are much safer (cream colored as tracked here https://realscience.community/covid_tracking-2/).
– You can read about the XPRIZE finalists here https://rb.gy/zzpdfj
US by State
About: Projections were created by the founder of Real Science, Dr. Christin Glorioso. I produced a separate SIR model for each county with an empirically derived beta from real data from that county. US and state level data are calculated from the sum of the county model results. The primary data are from the JHU COVID repository. Feel free to reach out to me for more details. You can join the site and message me or leave a comment below.
This pandemic has been awful in a lot of ways. But it has had a few silver linings. One of them for me has been the public interest in science in 2020. As a scientist, welcoming the world into my world has been really wonderful. Science is exciting. It is a way to understand our […]
Real Science founder, Dr. Glorioso, guest lectures Boston University’s Medical Ethics class. She and Philosophy PhD candidate, Brian Moen, discuss how mainstream media sources have cast doubt on COVID-19 vaccine safety. We also discuss school safety, COVID in kids, and superspreading. We theorize and pose research questions about why false information may be spreading. We […]